PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pollybond

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 9 settled so far10 open · 2% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$148.2K179 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded24Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$71.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$6.3K
Concentration
19.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.8KPnL+$240Avg85¢Current86.5¢16,000Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.4KPnL+$826Avg89.9¢Current95.8¢13,985.44Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$11.3KPnL+$694Avg87.8¢Current93.5¢12,076.99Shares
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
NoValue$10.3KPnL−$111Avg76.8¢Current76¢13,491.63Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$8.3KPnL+$2.1KAvg63¢Current83.5¢9,999.99Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$7KPnL+$2.1KAvg69.1¢Current98.1¢7,184.31Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$75Avg93¢Current95.5¢3,000Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$202Avg91¢Current100¢2,254.98Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pollybond: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$4.8K lifetime P&L, $148.2K traded, updated 2026-09-22.