PolyTrace
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Trader profile

wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.1%11,167 settled · past 90 days42 open · 35% underwater · 18 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$319.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded433Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.3% / $95% interval −9.8% to −2.7%10,053 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+6.0%n=219 settled
Sports
−6.5%n=9,834 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.1% · Decided 11,167 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete18 minutes ago
Current position value
$219.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$20.4M
Concentration
15.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
3,733
Showing the largest 8 of 3,733
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
New York Mets · YesValue$34.9KPnL+$9.7KAvg60.4¢Current83.5¢41,803.71Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
Under · NoValue$32KPnL+$11.1KAvg45¢Current69¢46,337.56Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$30.3KPnL+$333Avg45¢Current45.5¢66,666.54Shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals · NoValue$25.1KPnL+$10.6KAvg57.8¢Current100¢25,073.75Shares
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5
Over · YesValue$12.5KPnL+$132Avg47¢Current47.5¢26,303.85Shares
UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)
Islam Dulatov · NoValue$11.5KPnL−$1.6KAvg57¢Current50¢23,072.3Shares
Raiders vs. Saints
Saints · NoValue$10.6KPnL+$84Avg62¢Current62.5¢16,895.04Shares
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins · YesValue$10.2KPnL+$3.6KAvg54.4¢Current84.5¢12,040.17Shares
Showing 8 of 3,733 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet wr0ngw4yb3tt0r: 50.1% win rate over 11,167 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.8%, n=10,053 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.5% over 9,834 fills); −$5M lifetime P&L, $319.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.