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Trader profile

Humble-Monk

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$29.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.8%268 settled · past 180 days8 open · 93% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded867Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.5% / $95% interval −156.6% to +117.5%95 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.4%n=28 settled
Politics
−25.5%n=64 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.8% · Decided 268 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$11.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$39.3K
Concentration
37.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
55
Showing the largest 8 of 55
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$4.2KPnL−$105Avg61¢Current59.5¢6,999.99Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$3.3KPnL−$23Avg71¢Current70.5¢4,654.3Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$120Avg18¢Current16.5¢8,000Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$67Avg24.2¢Current25.5¢5,097.29Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
YesValue$743PnL−$485Avg19¢Current11.5¢6,461.01Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$183PnL−$230Avg15¢Current6.7¢2,755.84Shares
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
NoValue$49PnL+$4Avg6¢Current6.5¢750.76Shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$17PnL+$4Avg11¢Current14.5¢113.95Shares
Showing 8 of 55 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Humble-Monk: 44.8% win rate over 268 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −19.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −156.6%, n=95 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.4% over 28 fills); +$29.5K lifetime P&L, $6.2M traded, updated 2026-09-26.