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Trader profile

predictgeek

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$16.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…136 open · 46% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded971Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−30.7% / $95% interval −367.9% to +306.4%83 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−23.5%n=62 settled
Sports
−33.5%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$11.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$127.8K
Concentration
17.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
592
Showing the largest 8 of 592
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$2KPnL+$148Avg86.9¢Current94¢2,097Shares
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$135Avg81.3¢Current92.2¢1,240Shares
NoValue$1KPnL+$5Avg90.4¢Current90.9¢1,130Shares
NoValue$698PnL+$128Avg59.2¢Current72.5¢962.99Shares
NoValue$698PnL+$50Avg73.3¢Current79¢883Shares
NoValue$540PnL+$205Avg54.9¢Current88.5¢610Shares
YesValue$427PnL−$123Avg78.5¢Current61¢701.25Shares
NoValue$384PnL+$23Avg73¢Current77.5¢496.06Shares
Showing 8 of 592 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet predictgeek: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −30.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −367.9%, n=83 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−23.5% over 62 fills); −$16.9K lifetime P&L, $5.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.