PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

zvoboda

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$4.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$103.2K90 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded29Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−44.4% / $95% interval −430.9% to +342.1%12 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−44.4%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg23¢Current0¢326.09Shares
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg0.1¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg7.6¢Current0¢37,369.28Shares
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
FaZe · YesValue$0PnL−$0.10Avg16.9¢Current0¢0.6Shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg0.6¢Current0¢8,699.08Shares
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg0.9¢Current0¢7,895.64Shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
B8 · YesValue$0PnL−$25Avg13¢Current0¢192.31Shares
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
BetBoom Team · NoValue$0PnL−$60Avg34.1¢Current0¢175.93Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet zvoboda: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −44.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −430.9%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−44.4% over 12 fills); −$4.6K lifetime P&L, $103.2K traded, updated 2026-09-26.