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Trader profile

Nat26

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$116.5K236 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded126Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.0% / $95% interval −265.6% to +185.6%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 37 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
56
Showing the largest 8 of 56
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$199Avg50¢Current0¢397.9Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$45Avg15¢Current0¢300Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
NoValue$0PnL−$201Avg51.8¢Current0¢387.1Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg27.3¢Current0¢1,098.9Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$50Avg27¢Current0¢185.78Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$120Avg22¢Current0¢544.38Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg34¢Current0¢14.71Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$28Avg27¢Current0¢103.7Shares
Showing 8 of 56 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Nat26: edge −40.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −265.6%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$1.7K lifetime P&L, $116.5K traded, updated 2026-09-24.