PolyTrace
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Trader profile

greater-fools

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Break-even historically.

Lifetime PnL$0Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet6 open · 100% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$364.1K79 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded6Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$38.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$32.2K
Concentration
26.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$10.2KPnL−$8.8KAvg27¢Current14.5¢70,647.17Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$10.1KPnL−$2.4KAvg26.5¢Current21.5¢47,023.88Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$8.2KPnL−$4KAvg48.3¢Current32.5¢25,173.55Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$5.2KPnL−$9.6KAvg9.5¢Current3.4¢155,273.4Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.2KPnL−$4.6KAvg20.6¢Current8.5¢37,677.43Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$2.8KAvg16¢Current6¢28,335.24Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet greater-fools: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); $0 lifetime P&L, $364.1K traded, updated 2026-09-22.