PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Nothfail

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.4%195 settled · past 180 days0 open · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$472.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded223Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.3% / $95% interval −29.1% to +22.4%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.4% · Decided 195 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg5¢Current0¢99.99Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg12.6¢Current0¢78.34Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$18Avg4.1¢Current0¢439.98Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$33Avg1.1¢Current0¢2,897.92Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg0.2¢Current0¢1,000Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$9Avg6.1¢Current0¢150Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg0.3¢Current0¢699.99Shares
DownValue$0PnL−$2Avg1¢Current0¢215.27Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Nothfail: 54.4% win rate over 195 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −29.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$1.6K lifetime P&L, $472.4K traded, updated 2026-09-26.