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Trader profile

George.Smiley

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$49.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.7%75 settled · past 90 days17 open · 65% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded293Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.7% · Decided 75 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$26.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29.2K
Concentration
44.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
88
Showing the largest 8 of 88
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$11.7KPnL−$281Avg92.7¢Current90.5¢12,913.13Shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$10.4KPnL+$7Avg91.4¢Current91.5¢11,330.7Shares
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$158Avg68.1¢Current80.5¢1,276.65Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$819PnL+$321Avg38¢Current62.5¢1,309.91Shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$553PnL+$222Avg53¢Current88.5¢625.34Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$389PnL−$76Avg21.5¢Current18¢2,159.51Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$335PnL−$161Avg57¢Current38.5¢869.99Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?
YesValue$320PnL−$180Avg50¢Current32¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 88 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet George.Smiley: 46.7% win rate over 75 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$49.8K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.