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Trader profile

rainbowlilies

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$234.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.2%2,309 settled · past 90 days1,059 open · 70% underwater · 17 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$78.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded687Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.6% / $95% interval −35.0% to +31.8%50 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.0%n=49 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.2% · Decided 2,309 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete17 minutes ago
Current position value
$47.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.3K
Concentration
10.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,099
Showing the largest 8 of 1,099
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
YesValue$5KPnL−$233Avg18.3¢Current17.5¢28,708.36Shares
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$3.8KPnL+$3.6KAvg1.6¢Current21.5¢17,896.29Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
YesValue$2.6KPnL−$341Avg9.6¢Current8.5¢30,174.49Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$2KAvg2¢Current13.5¢17,607.73Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$86Avg16.7¢Current16¢11,492.25Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$1.4KAvg2¢Current8.5¢20,999.9Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$865PnL+$365Avg50¢Current86.5¢1,000.01Shares
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
YesValue$801PnL−$296Avg11.6¢Current8.5¢9,424.47Shares
Showing 8 of 1,099 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rainbowlilies: 41.2% win rate over 2,309 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −35.0%, n=50 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.0% over 49 fills); +$234.6K lifetime P&L, $78.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.