PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x20c6…45ae

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$426.4K180 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded130Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.5% / $95% interval −30.3% to +23.3%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.5%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$42.6K
Concentration
78.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
79
Showing the largest 8 of 79
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$853PnL−$147Avg17¢Current14.5¢5,882.35Shares
YesValue$228PnL−$772Avg16¢Current3.7¢6,250Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg62.1¢Current0¢805.15Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg50.7¢Current0¢986.19Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg1.9¢Current0¢5,384.76Shares
Spain · YesValue$0PnL−$270Avg27¢Current0¢1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg17.8¢Current0¢1,120.78Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg11¢Current0¢1,363.64Shares
Showing 8 of 79 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x20c6959a19427d373e3ce3397e54dd1d9d1745ae: edge −3.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −30.3%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.5% over 14 fills); −$12.2K lifetime P&L, $426.4K traded, updated 2026-09-25.