PolyTrace
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Trader profile

shalegend

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$11.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$666K946 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded482Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.9% / $95% interval −94.4% to +66.6%18 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−13.9%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
158
Showing the largest 8 of 158
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
Mexico · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg34¢Current0¢294.12Shares
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro
Sho Shimabukuro · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg51.9¢Current0¢481.54Shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg34.9¢Current0¢3,611.46Shares
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · YesValue$0PnL−$0.28Avg38¢Current0¢0.74Shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Grabher vs Mariam Bolkvadze
Julia Grabher · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg23¢Current0¢434.78Shares
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Juan Bautista Torres · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg49.1¢Current0¢407.08Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce
Martin Landaluce · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg40¢Current0¢625.01Shares
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands
Netherlands · NoValue$0PnL−$75Avg32.3¢Current0¢231.85Shares
Showing 8 of 158 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet shalegend: edge −13.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −94.4%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−13.9% over 18 fills); −$11.4K lifetime P&L, $666K traded, updated 2026-09-21.