PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

rebotsliaf

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$69.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate24.6%281 settled · past 90 days85 open · 37% underwater · 9 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$22.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded276Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+18.6% / $95% interval −64.7% to +102.0%162 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+18.2%n=143 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 24.6% · Decided 281 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete9 minutes ago
Current position value
$142.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$112.3K
Concentration
15.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
148
Showing the largest 8 of 148
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$22.1KPnL+$6.6KAvg45.4¢Current64.5¢34,297.62Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$21KPnL+$2.7KAvg75.5¢Current86.5¢24,319.53Shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$11KPnL−$3Avg95.1¢Current95.1¢11,610.97Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$7.2KPnL+$109Avg69.4¢Current70.5¢10,210.82Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$7KPnL−$111Avg32¢Current31.5¢22,221.97Shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$6.8KPnL+$231Avg56.3¢Current58.3¢11,733.85Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$6.8KPnL−$3.3KAvg43.8¢Current29.5¢22,983.55Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$128Avg77.7¢Current79.4¢7,947.82Shares
Showing 8 of 148 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rebotsliaf: 24.6% win rate over 281 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +18.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −64.7%, n=162 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+18.2% over 143 fills); +$69.7K lifetime P&L, $22.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.