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Trader profile

lomneivan

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$177.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.8%24 settled · past 90 days20 open · 98% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded87Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+17.0% / $95% interval −4.8% to +38.7%31 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+15.0%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.8% · Decided 24 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$579.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$270.8K
Concentration
17.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$102.8KPnL+$1.2KAvg85.5¢Current86.5¢118,810.54Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$87.9KPnL−$41.9KAvg50.9¢Current34.5¢254,641.21Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$67.7KPnL−$13.1KAvg45.9¢Current38.5¢175,761.65Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$62.1KPnL−$30.2KAvg62.5¢Current42.1¢147,641.29Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$50.1KPnL−$26.4KAvg63.3¢Current41.5¢120,829.78Shares
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$45KPnL−$2.3KAvg56.3¢Current53.5¢84,118.84Shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$44.2KPnL−$10.1KAvg46¢Current37.5¢117,974.25Shares
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$30KPnL−$1.6KAvg73.2¢Current69.5¢43,100.2Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lomneivan: 45.8% win rate over 24 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +17.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −4.8%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+15.0% over 23 fills); +$177.7K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.