PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x1fd0…c6a7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%1,010 settled · past 180 days93 open · 30% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,205Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.3% / $95% interval −3.2% to +0.5%304 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+1.2%n=56 settled
Finance
+0.8%n=23 settled
Sports
−0.4%n=43 settled
Crypto
−1.6%n=146 settled
Culture
−8.5%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 1,010 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$32.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$47
Concentration
4.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
244
Showing the largest 8 of 244
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$2Avg99.6¢Current99.8¢1,505Shares
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$0.71Avg99.9¢Current99.9¢1,502Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$2Avg99.8¢Current99.7¢1,502Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$2Avg99.4¢Current99.3¢1,508Shares
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$2Avg99.8¢Current99.7¢1,403Shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$5Avg99.9¢Current99.5¢1,269Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$16Avg98.1¢Current99.5¢1,206Shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$16Avg97.6¢Current98.9¢1,211Shares
Showing 8 of 244 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x1fd06adbea5290548df0637cf82cce686b78c6a7: 51.5% win rate over 1,010 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −1.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.2%, n=304 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+1.2% over 56 fills); −$7.4K lifetime P&L, $1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.