PolyTrace
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Trader profile

northpole

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$39.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.7%883 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded703Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.6% / $95% interval −6.7% to +37.9%56 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+18.8%n=19 settled
Sports
+9.0%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 20 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.7% · Decided 883 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$92
Snapshot cash PnL
−$46.5K
Concentration
97%
Largest share of value
Positions
191
Showing the largest 8 of 191
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner
Procyon Gaming · YesValue$89PnL−$40Avg44.9¢Current31¢286.86Shares
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage
Bubliki · NoValue$0.98PnL+$0.32Avg67.8¢Current100¢0.98Shares
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner
Cupid Esports · YesValue$0.73PnL+$0.20Avg72¢Current100¢0.73Shares
LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner
DMG EsportsValue$0.52PnL+$0.39Avg25¢Current100¢0.52Shares
LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner
Dark PassageValue$0.25PnL+$0.08Avg67¢Current100¢0.25Shares
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · NoValue$0.19PnL+$0.05Avg74¢Current100¢0.19Shares
LoL: Lodis vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
Forsaken · NoValue$0.12PnL+$0.06Avg47¢Current100¢0.12Shares
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 4 Winner
BOMBA TeamValue$0PnL−$2Avg79¢Current0¢3Shares
Showing 8 of 191 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet northpole: 55.7% win rate over 883 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +15.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.7%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+9.0% over 37 fills); +$39.8K lifetime P&L, $1M traded, updated 2026-09-25.