PolyTrace
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Trader profile

LocalHunter

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$229KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.4%1,195 settled · past 90 days873 open · 18% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,014Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+16.7% / $95% interval −136.3% to +169.7%72 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+18.9%n=36 settled
Finance
+9.1%n=11 settled
Culture
−3.2%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.4% · Decided 1,195 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$271.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$36.7K
Concentration
3.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
993
Showing the largest 8 of 993
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$2.6KAvg69.8¢Current95.8¢10,199.09Shares
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$404Avg91.2¢Current98.5¢5,519.06Shares
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
YesValue$5.3KPnL+$1.7KAvg54.4¢Current79.5¢6,680.48Shares
Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?
YesValue$4.7KPnL+$516Avg87.4¢Current98.3¢4,753.52Shares
Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?
YesValue$3.4KPnL−$82Avg81.9¢Current80¢4,292.77Shares
Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?
NoValue$3.3KPnL−$6Avg86.6¢Current86.5¢3,777Shares
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$504Avg81.1¢Current96.3¢3,332.26Shares
Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$273Avg75.2¢Current82.5¢3,741.17Shares
Showing 8 of 993 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LocalHunter: 66.4% win rate over 1,195 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −136.3%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+18.9% over 36 fills); +$229K lifetime P&L, $4.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.