PolyTrace
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Trader profile

not4fun

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$46KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded838Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.4% / $95% interval −180.5% to +177.8%35 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.4%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete38 minutes ago
Current position value
$398
Snapshot cash PnL
−$117.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
330
Showing the largest 8 of 330
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan
Alex Bolt · YesValue$398PnL+$183Avg54¢Current100¢397.57Shares
Liege: Sergey Fomin vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
Sergey Fomin · YesValue$0PnL−$114Avg36¢Current0¢317.34Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$60Avg3¢Current0¢1,999Shares
Roehampton 2: Tiago Cacao vs Fabrizio Andaloro
Tiago Cacao · YesValue$0PnL−$254Avg23¢Current0¢1,105Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
YesValue$0PnL−$36Avg17.9¢Current0¢200Shares
Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalieva
Elvina Kalieva · NoValue$0PnL−$22Avg1.8¢Current0¢1,172.12Shares
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx
Cristian GarinValue$0PnL−$721Avg73¢Current0¢987.98Shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
YesValue$0PnL−$63Avg1.1¢Current0¢5,640.06Shares
Showing 8 of 330 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet not4fun: edge −1.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −180.5%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.4% over 35 fills); +$46K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-26.