PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

laiwenjun

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.7%614 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$678K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded570Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−31.6% / $95% interval −589.0% to +525.8%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−26.1%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.7% · Decided 614 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0.93
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$0.93PnL−$0.07Avg2.2¢Current2.1¢45.45Shares
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.4¢Current0¢1,250Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.3¢Current0¢1,666.67Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet laiwenjun: 40.7% win rate over 614 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −31.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −589.0%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−26.1% over 10 fills); −$2.7K lifetime P&L, $678K traded, updated 2026-09-21.