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Trader profile

vinii

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$127.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate63.9%2,059 settled · past 90 days403 open · 16% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,917Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.2% / $95% interval −126.6% to +116.1%132 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−0.1%n=96 settled
Culture
−1.9%n=11 settled
Unmapped
−18.4%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 63.9% · Decided 2,059 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$94.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$15.1K
Concentration
5.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
446
Showing the largest 8 of 446
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$849Avg78.3¢Current92.5¢5,990Shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$1.7KAvg58.6¢Current95.2¢4,733.71Shares
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$318Avg85¢Current91.5¢4,879.92Shares
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$352Avg88.9¢Current98.2¢3,788.24Shares
Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$2.3KAvg23.7¢Current97.1¢3,183.16Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$3KPnL+$567Avg72.4¢Current89¢3,403Shares
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$521Avg67.5¢Current83.5¢3,254.3Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$14Avg70.1¢Current70.5¢3,786.23Shares
Showing 8 of 446 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet vinii: 63.9% win rate over 2,059 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −126.6%, n=132 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−0.1% over 96 fills); +$127.8K lifetime P&L, $6.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.