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Trader profile

froku

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$24.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—No positions have settled yet2 open · 32% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$993.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded999Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.8% / $95% interval −357.6% to +297.9%29 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−29.8%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10K
Concentration
99.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$602Avg42¢Current89.5¢1,267.78Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$7PnL−$283Avg22.2¢Current0.5¢1,304.44Shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$226Avg7.5¢Current0¢3,008.63Shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$43Avg3¢Current0¢1,426.59Shares
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.4¢Current0¢1,250Shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$999Avg50.6¢Current0¢1,974.43Shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$445Avg71.2¢Current0¢625.44Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$82Avg52.7¢Current0¢154.69Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet froku: edge −29.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −357.6%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−29.8% over 29 fills); −$24.6K lifetime P&L, $993.4K traded, updated 2026-09-25.