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Trader profile

Brokie

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$187.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.6%64 settled · past 90 days73 open · 22% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$22.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded684Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.1% / $95% interval −60.8% to +34.5%42 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.0%n=19 settled
Politics
−19.6%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.6% · Decided 64 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$461.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$90.2K
Concentration
36.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
254
Showing the largest 8 of 254
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$169.7KPnL+$8.3KAvg48.6¢Current51.2¢331,697.87Shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$63.6KPnL+$3.2KAvg92.4¢Current97.3¢65,319.3Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$45.4KPnL+$44.3KAvg0.4¢Current15.4¢295,957.18Shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$39KPnL+$5KAvg84.7¢Current97.4¢40,039.87Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$29.6KPnL+$8.4KAvg46.9¢Current65.5¢45,161.45Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$10.6KPnL+$1.7KAvg56¢Current66.5¢15,980.68Shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$10.5KPnL+$9.2KAvg0.4¢Current3.4¢308,999.63Shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$615Avg92¢Current98.2¢9,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 254 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Brokie: 51.6% win rate over 64 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −60.8%, n=42 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.0% over 19 fills); +$187.5K lifetime P&L, $22.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.