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Trader profile

Liou-No2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price6 open · 46% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,902Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.6% / $95% interval −77.0% to +69.9%113 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−1.1%n=39 settled
Sports
−4.5%n=74 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$5.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37
Concentration
46%
Largest share of value
Positions
30
Showing the largest 8 of 30
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$1Avg99.9¢Current99.9¢2,343.94Shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 22?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$1Avg99.9¢Current100¢2,215.62Shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22?
NoValue$316PnL+$0.16Avg99.9¢Current100¢316.52Shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 22?
NoValue$210PnL+$0.10Avg99.9¢Current100¢210.06Shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 22?
NoValue$5PnL$0Avg99.8¢Current99.9¢5.1Shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22?
NoValue$1PnL$0Avg99.9¢Current100¢1.03Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 19?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.26Avg0.1¢Current0¢256.27Shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.04Avg0.2¢Current0¢20.98Shares
Showing 8 of 30 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Liou-No2: edge −3.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −77.0%, n=113 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−1.1% over 39 fills); −$2K lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-22.