Trader profile

Obilic

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-22

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$2.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…3 open · 5% underwater · 1 day ago

Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded346Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−11.2% / $95% interval −140.4% to +118.1%67 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: −11.2%n=67 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded1 day ago

Current position value: $11K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$118.4K
Concentration: 89.7%
Positions: 89

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

NoValue$9.8KPnL+$1.8KAvg59.4¢Current73¢13,490.41Shares

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Raoni Barcelos · YesValue$1.1KPnL−$15Avg38¢Current37.5¢3,000Shares

Deel IPO before 2027?

YesValue$9PnL−$81Avg45¢Current4.5¢200Shares

UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)

Daniel Santos · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg61¢Current0¢2,944Shares

UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)

Alexander Hernandez · YesValue$0PnL−$5.2KAvg52.8¢Current0¢9,856Shares

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$201Avg4¢Current0¢5,016Shares

Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

YesValue$0PnL−$5.1KAvg42.7¢Current0¢12,000Shares

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

YesValue$0PnL−$592Avg21¢Current0¢2,820.79Shares

Showing 8 of 89 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

3 days ago

BUYYES

Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. · 38¢

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Open market →$1.1K

12 days ago

BUYNO

Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu · 59¢

Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)Open market →$1K

Open

19 days ago

SELLNO

Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse · 79¢

UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Open market →$4K

19 days ago

BUYYES

Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse · 21¢

UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Open market →$1.1K

1 month ago

SELLNO

Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues · 99¢

UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Open market →$22.8K

About this wallet

Wallet Obilic: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −11.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −140.4%, n=67 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.2% over 67 fills); +$2.2K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-22.