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Trader profile

Ru386

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$102.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.7%2,909 settled · past 90 days67 open · 39% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,716Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.8% / $95% interval −81.7% to +54.1%563 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−13.9%n=560 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.7% · Decided 2,909 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$16.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$658.1K
Concentration
17.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,509
Showing the largest 8 of 1,509
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$717Avg69.3¢Current92.5¢3,087.06Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$284Avg86.3¢Current98.6¢2,317.22Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$201Avg63.7¢Current73.5¢2,041.63Shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$345Avg43.4¢Current58.3¢2,316.79Shares
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$718PnL+$18Avg20¢Current20.5¢3,500Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$654PnL+$354Avg36¢Current78.5¢833.33Shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?
NoValue$565PnL+$265Avg42.4¢Current80¢706.81Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$513PnL+$113Avg30¢Current38.5¢1,333.33Shares
Showing 8 of 1,509 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Ru386: 57.7% win rate over 2,909 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −81.7%, n=563 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−13.9% over 560 fills); −$102.5K lifetime P&L, $12M traded, updated 2026-09-24.