PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

firegold

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$26.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.7%275 settled · past 90 days55 open · 66% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded575Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.7% / $95% interval −170.4% to +160.9%60 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−2.5%n=50 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.7% · Decided 275 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$64.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.8K
Concentration
10.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
146
Showing the largest 8 of 146
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
NoValue$6.7KPnL+$32Avg95.4¢Current95.9¢7,000Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$234Avg85.6¢Current89.5¢5,999.98Shares
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$5.3KPnL+$544Avg89.4¢Current99.7¢5,297.7Shares
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$882Avg73.9¢Current91.5¢5,008.51Shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$4.3KPnL−$1KAvg75.9¢Current61.5¢7,059.63Shares
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3.3KPnL−$44Avg84.6¢Current83.5¢3,982Shares
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
YesValue$3.3KPnL−$119Avg80.3¢Current77.5¢4,239.38Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3.2KPnL−$824Avg57.3¢Current45.5¢6,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 146 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet firegold: 56.7% win rate over 275 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −170.4%, n=60 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−2.5% over 50 fills); +$26.2K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.