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Trader profile

RiseFromTheAshes

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$990Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.1%214 settled · past 180 days5 open · 77% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded253Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.1% · Decided 214 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$978
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1K
Concentration
53.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
YesValue$520PnL−$25Avg22.5¢Current21.5¢2,419.16Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
YesValue$204PnL−$31Avg14.4¢Current12.5¢1,632.86Shares
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
YesValue$133PnL+$33Avg25.7¢Current34.3¢388.8Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
YesValue$88PnL−$59Avg61¢Current36.5¢241.44Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$32PnL+$2Avg75¢Current80¢40.13Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg0.9¢Current0¢1,111.11Shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg77¢Current0¢389.84Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$4Avg58.2¢Current0¢6.87Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RiseFromTheAshes: 42.1% win rate over 214 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$990 lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-20.