PolyTrace
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Trader profile

fazewinline

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$196.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate29.7%37 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1M772 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded38Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.8% / $95% interval −54.8% to −0.9%79 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−27.8%n=79 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 17 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 29.7% · Decided 37 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0.54
Snapshot cash PnL
−$269.1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$0.54PnL−$2Avg29.8¢Current7.3¢7.33Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg31.7¢Current0¢630.72Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4.5KAvg38.1¢Current0¢11,811.22Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$10.5KAvg92.1¢Current0¢11,399.78Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$179.1KAvg52.2¢Current0¢343,371.21Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg43.5¢Current0¢690.12Shares
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Eternal Fire · YesValue$0PnL−$19.6KAvg44.4¢Current0¢44,213.29Shares
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
Hanwha Life Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$4.8KAvg79.8¢Current0¢6,000Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet fazewinline: 29.7% win rate over 37 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −27.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −54.8%, n=79 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−27.8% over 79 fills); −$196.9K lifetime P&L, $1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.