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Trader profile

Pwaddler

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$703.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.8%231 settled · past 90 days3 open · 0% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded934Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.8% / $95% interval −13.0% to +11.5%248 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.8%n=239 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.8% · Decided 231 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$81.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.1M
Concentration
79.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
145
Showing the largest 8 of 145
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
New York Yankees · NoValue$64.7KPnL+$28.2KAvg55¢Current97.5¢66,354.28Shares
Florida · NoValue$9KPnL$0Avg60¢Current60¢15,000Shares
Eagles · YesValue$7.9KPnL+$175Avg66¢Current67.5¢11,658.42Shares
Boston Red Sox · YesValue$0PnL−$15.6KAvg61¢Current25,600Shares
Giants · NoValue$0PnL−$7KAvg48¢Current14,583.79Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$6KAvg50¢Current12,000Shares
Spain · YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg16¢Current10,000Shares
Atlanta Braves · NoValue$0PnL−$12.7KAvg56¢Current22,699.99Shares
Showing 8 of 145 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Pwaddler: 49.8% win rate over 231 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.0%, n=248 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.8% over 239 fills); −$703.3K lifetime P&L, $20.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.