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Trader profile

AhghastBog

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$12.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.2%1,095 settled · past 180 days32 open · 18% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded874Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+9.3% / $95% interval −95.8% to +114.5%67 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+10.8%n=64 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.2% · Decided 1,095 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$4.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$134.8K
Concentration
35.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
278
Showing the largest 8 of 278
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Sam Darnold have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$672Avg38.1¢Current65.5¢2,455Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$615PnL−$28Avg50.7¢Current48.5¢1,269.04Shares
Will A.J. Brown have 1,324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
NoValue$394PnL+$97Avg73¢Current96.7¢408.06Shares
Will Caleb Williams have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
NoValue$353PnL+$93Avg72.2¢Current98.1¢359.99Shares
Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
NoValue$302PnL+$86Avg42.9¢Current60¢503Shares
Will Sam Darnold have 3,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
NoValue$276PnL+$74Avg53¢Current72.5¢380Shares
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YesValue$125PnL+$23Avg68.2¢Current83.5¢149.39Shares
Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
NoValue$123PnL+$20Avg74¢Current88.5¢139.24Shares
Showing 8 of 278 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AhghastBog: 65.2% win rate over 1,095 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +9.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −95.8%, n=67 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+10.8% over 64 fills); +$12.8K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.