PolyTrace
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Trader profile

lissartter

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$279.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.1%2,331 settled · past 90 days727 open · 53% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$89.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded929Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+19.0% / $95% interval −11.4% to +49.4%457 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+74.0%n=152 settled
Sports
−3.7%n=38 settled
Finance
−11.0%n=266 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.1% · Decided 2,331 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded7 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$238.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$495.3K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
24.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$57.8KPnL+$14.7KAvg49.5¢Current66.5¢86,865.4Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$30.8KPnL−$16.5KAvg54.5¢Current35.5¢86,722.48Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$21.5KPnL+$2.3KAvg79.5¢Current89¢24,196.15Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
NoValue$11.3KPnL+$2.9KAvg54.1¢Current72.5¢15,623.65Shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$5.3KPnL+$628Avg87.3¢Current99.2¢5,325.05Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$4.6KPnL+$465Avg83.2¢Current92.5¢5,005.87Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
NoValue$3.8KPnL−$2.8KAvg51¢Current29.5¢12,911.45Shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$189Avg73.8¢Current77.9¢4,649.53Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lissartter: 41.1% win rate over 2,331 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +19.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −11.4%, n=457 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+74.0% over 152 fills); −$279.6K lifetime P&L, $89.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.