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Trader profile

qianyi2026

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$490Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate79.3%681 settled · past 90 days108 open · 38% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$388.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded774Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.3% / $95% interval −389.4% to +364.8%23 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−16.0%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 17 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 79.3% · Decided 681 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$22.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$540
Concentration
14.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
136
Showing the largest 8 of 136
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$460Avg83.5¢Current97.4¢3,301.46Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$392Avg72.4¢Current94.5¢1,774.54Shares
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$1.2KAvg19.2¢Current90.9¢1,648.83Shares
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$757PnL+$182Avg71¢Current93.5¢809.38Shares
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$684PnL+$416Avg29.7¢Current76¢900.08Shares
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$641PnL+$13Avg95.8¢Current97.8¢655.5Shares
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$540PnL+$88Avg70.7¢Current84.5¢639.29Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$528PnL+$91Avg71.5¢Current86.5¢610.12Shares
Showing 8 of 136 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet qianyi2026: 79.3% win rate over 681 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −389.4%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−16.0% over 15 fills); −$490 lifetime P&L, $388.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.