PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Wickier

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.4%53 settled · past 90 days9 open · 21% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$23.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded361Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.7% / $95% interval −121.1% to +71.8%102 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.9%n=31 settled
Politics
−36.1%n=59 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 17 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.4% · Decided 53 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$8.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$445.2K
Concentration
56.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
53
Showing the largest 8 of 53
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
NoValue$5.1KPnL+$495Avg76.3¢Current84.5¢5,995.63Shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$203Avg24.6¢Current27¢8,371.53Shares
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
NoValue$541PnL+$52Avg55.1¢Current61¢887.12Shares
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$419PnL−$88Avg2.2¢Current1.9¢22,627.64Shares
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
YesValue$312PnL+$33Avg17¢Current19¢1,640Shares
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
YesValue$124PnL+$39Avg53¢Current77¢160.53Shares
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
NoValue$95PnL+$27Avg34¢Current47.5¢199.99Shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
YesValue$79PnL−$5Avg11.1¢Current10.5¢751.39Shares
Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Wickier: 43.4% win rate over 53 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −24.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −121.1%, n=102 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.9% over 31 fills); +$1.1M lifetime P&L, $23.9M traded, updated 2026-09-25.