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Trader profile

ckmilano

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate91.7%24 settled · past 180 days0 open · 17 days ago
Lifetime volume$415.7K62 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded37Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.8% / $95% interval −37.0% to +3.3%30 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.8%n=30 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 91.7% · Decided 24 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$53.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Brandon Nakashima · YesValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg67¢Current0¢6,240.75Shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg88¢Current0¢3,383.4Shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
OverValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg74¢Current0¢6,671.84Shares
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg38¢Current0¢5,263.16Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca
Joao Fonseca · NoValue$0PnL−$6.4KAvg77¢Current0¢8,305.43Shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Senegal · NoValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg43¢Current0¢11,358.98Shares
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya
Anna Kalinskaya · NoValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg53.1¢Current0¢9,223.43Shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Bosnia and Herzegovina · NoValue$0PnL−$9.8KAvg52¢Current0¢18,873.77Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ckmilano: 91.7% win rate over 24 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −37.0%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.8% over 30 fills); −$14.2K lifetime P&L, $415.7K traded, updated 2026-09-24.