PolyTrace
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Trader profile

skadii

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$46.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…19 open · 83% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded476Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.0% / $95% interval −264.6% to +216.6%110 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−21.4%n=106 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$33.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.6K
Concentration
26.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
Verdant · NoValue$9.1KPnL+$494Avg40.2¢Current42.5¢21,389.16Shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Under · NoValue$7.5KPnL−$2KAvg48.8¢Current38.5¢19,397.5Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 1 Winner
The Otter Side · NoValue$4.8KPnL−$5.3KAvg50.7¢Current24¢19,879.13Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$3.4KPnL+$953Avg36.2¢Current50.5¢6,683.65Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$1.6KPnL−$55Avg35.7¢Current34.5¢4,696.52Shares
Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)
Pyramid IV Esports · NoValue$1.3KPnL+$63Avg28.6¢Current30¢4,364.22Shares
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)
Verdant · NoValue$1.2KPnL+$8Avg64.1¢Current64.5¢1,836.46Shares
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner
SU Esports · YesValue$801PnL+$62Avg54¢Current58.5¢1,370.05Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet skadii: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −24.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −264.6%, n=110 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−21.4% over 106 fills); −$46.7K lifetime P&L, $10.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.