PolyTrace
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Trader profile

bernardbulletin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$185.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate74%650 settled · past 90 days231 open · 13% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,273Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.1% / $95% interval −127.3% to +99.1%74 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−13.3%n=64 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 74% · Decided 650 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$237.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$52K
Concentration
29.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
231
Showing the largest 8 of 231
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$69.6KPnL+$34KAvg29.6¢Current58¢120,061.92Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$14.3KPnL+$783Avg69¢Current73¢19,580.29Shares
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$12.5KPnL+$7.1KAvg0.9¢Current2.1¢608,714.42Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$10.1KPnL+$1.7KAvg51.1¢Current61.5¢16,493.17Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$10.1KPnL+$1.2KAvg64.5¢Current73.5¢13,750.45Shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$8.5KPnL+$1.8KAvg4¢Current5.1¢168,591.44Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$6.8KPnL+$2KAvg41.7¢Current58.5¢11,693.59Shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$6.6KPnL+$1.6KAvg35.5¢Current46.5¢14,258.87Shares
Showing 8 of 231 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bernardbulletin: 74% win rate over 650 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −127.3%, n=74 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−13.3% over 64 fills); +$185.1K lifetime P&L, $6.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.