PolyTrace
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Trader profile

2829

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$33.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.4%693 settled · past 90 days9 open · 89% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded753Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−34.4% / $95% interval −308.9% to +240.1%35 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−34.4%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.4% · Decided 693 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$5.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22.7K
Concentration
43%
Largest share of value
Positions
139
Showing the largest 8 of 139
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$31Avg86.1¢Current85¢2,719.26Shares
Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$100Avg61.9¢Current67¢1,974.51Shares
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YesValue$828PnL−$8Avg90.9¢Current90¢920.09Shares
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$474PnL+$75Avg0.8¢Current1¢49,860.68Shares
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$330PnL+$49Avg1.1¢Current1.3¢26,369.5Shares
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$93PnL+$6Avg7.3¢Current7.8¢1,197.47Shares
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
YesValue$12PnL+$5Avg2.2¢Current3.6¢350Shares
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?
NoValue$1PnL−$1.5KAvg52.2¢Current0.1¢2,900.03Shares
Showing 8 of 139 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 2829: 44.4% win rate over 693 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −34.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −308.9%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−34.4% over 35 fills); −$33.4K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.