PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x1bae…ae9f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$22.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.5%567 settled · past 180 days1 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$514K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded672Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −316.3% to +284.2%38 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.5%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.5% · Decided 567 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
NoValue$1PnL$0Avg98.2¢Current98.2¢1.02Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
Nongshim Esports Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg91¢Current0¢2,582.12Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Dplus KIA · YesValue$0PnL−$760Avg76¢Current0¢1,000Shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Karmine Corp · YesValue$0PnL−$939Avg73¢Current0¢1,285.82Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg82¢Current0¢2,239.03Shares
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ninjas in Pyjamas · YesValue$0PnL−$743Avg63¢Current0¢1,178.76Shares
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
DN SOOPers Challengers · NoValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg93¢Current0¢1,846.72Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
T1 Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$378Avg90¢Current0¢420Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x1baea97d6fa6bd5b1cd1390d1339e748b7afae9f: 69.5% win rate over 567 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −316.3%, n=38 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.5% over 37 fills); −$22.9K lifetime P&L, $514K traded, updated 2026-09-24.