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Trader profile

Bogdanreay

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35%263 settled · past 90 days6 open · 47% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded552Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.0% / $95% interval −280.9% to +251.0%75 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+25.7%n=15 settled
Sports
−28.3%n=60 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35% · Decided 263 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$133K
Concentration
56.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
342
Showing the largest 8 of 342
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Over · YesValue$2.4KPnL+$513Avg36¢Current46¢5,132.23Shares
FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$1.1KPnL+$650Avg43.3¢Current99.6¢1,155.12Shares
Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$365PnL+$123Avg36.2¢Current54.5¢669.9Shares
Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$313PnL+$54Avg34.4¢Current41.5¢754.19Shares
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 1.5
Over · YesValue$0.77PnL−$699Avg45.2¢Current0.1¢1,549.7Shares
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Over · YesValue$0.76PnL−$499Avg33¢Current0.1¢1,516.04Shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
UnderValue$0PnL−$6Avg18.7¢Current0¢31.84Shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg17¢Current0¢588.24Shares
Showing 8 of 342 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bogdanreay: 35% win rate over 263 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −280.9%, n=75 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−28.3% over 60 fills); −$5.7K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.