PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Outsmarter

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$73.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.9%107 settled · past 90 days54 open · 21% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$839.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded187Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.9% · Decided 107 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$95.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.2K
Concentration
10%
Largest share of value
Positions
73
Showing the largest 8 of 73
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$350Avg92¢Current95.5¢10,000Shares
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.7KPnL+$616Avg90.6¢Current98.5¢7,823.88Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.5KPnL+$310Avg90.9¢Current95.5¢6,800.01Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$427Avg88.9¢Current96.7¢5,541.22Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$515Avg79.8¢Current89.5¢5,299.99Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$750Avg78¢Current93¢5,000Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$172Avg90.2¢Current94.5¢4,021.1Shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
NoValue$3.3KPnL+$150Avg89.2¢Current93.5¢3,495.52Shares
Showing 8 of 73 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Outsmarter: 72.9% win rate over 107 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$73.8K lifetime P&L, $839.5K traded, updated 2026-09-25.