PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x1b4d…e246

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$550.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.2%52 settled · past 90 days0 open · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$19.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded850Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+22.8% / $95% interval −12.2% to +57.8%52 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+22.8%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.2% · Decided 52 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete28 minutes ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.6M
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
297
Showing the largest 8 of 297
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. VCU Rams
George Washington RevolutionariesValue$0PnL−$672Avg29¢Current0¢2,315.77Shares
Rome: Federico Bondioli vs Andrea Guerrieri
Federico BondioliValue$0PnL−$596Avg43.7¢Current0¢1,361.32Shares
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
UnderValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg51¢Current0¢5,196.08Shares
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
JazzValue$0PnL−$28.3KAvg44¢Current0¢64,318.18Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Top Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$504Avg42.1¢Current0¢1,197.72Shares
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg29¢Current0¢42.89Shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia PhilliesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg53.7¢Current0¢4,662.41Shares
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5
OverValue$0PnL−$115Avg33¢Current0¢348.06Shares
Showing 8 of 297 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x1b4d7cbd8dce8a56dd2c51e952cccbf55f78e246: 46.2% win rate over 52 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +22.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −12.2%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+22.8% over 52 fills); −$550.8K lifetime P&L, $19.1M traded, updated 2026-09-25.