PolyTrace
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Trader profile

sbsigner

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$515.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.2%3,456 settled · past 90 days18 open · 77% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$73.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded819Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.2% / $95% interval −18.8% to +0.3%4,701 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.3%n=4,699 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 58 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.2% · Decided 3,456 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$62
Concentration
36.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?
YesValue$434PnL−$66Avg38¢Current33¢1,315.27Shares
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?
NoValue$196PnL+$9Avg64¢Current67¢293.08Shares
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
TYLOO · YesValue$126PnL−$2Avg33¢Current32.5¢387.87Shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds · YesValue$114PnL−$11Avg28¢Current25.5¢446.37Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies · NoValue$64PnL−$7Avg26¢Current23.5¢272.98Shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$50PnL−$0.41Avg61¢Current60.5¢82.77Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$49PnL+$11Avg59.1¢Current76.5¢64.65Shares
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$42PnL+$0.78Avg79¢Current80.5¢52.11Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sbsigner: 54.2% win rate over 3,456 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −18.8%, n=4,701 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.3% over 4,699 fills); −$515.8K lifetime P&L, $73.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.