PolyTrace
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Trader profile

shanze8

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$33.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate77.5%1,005 settled · past 90 days4 open · 0% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$927.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded984Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −274.6% to +242.3%102 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−16.5%n=100 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 77.5% · Decided 1,005 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$603
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.1K
Concentration
69.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
157
Showing the largest 8 of 157
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 23?
NoValue$418PnL+$49Avg88.3¢Current100¢418.36Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23?
NoValue$169PnL+$2Avg98.5¢Current100¢169.11Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23?
NoValue$11PnL+$0.10Avg99¢Current100¢11.03Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.05Avg99¢Current100¢5Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?
NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg0.5¢Current0¢855.59Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
NoValue$0PnL−$20Avg18.8¢Current0¢105.67Shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg5.9¢Current0¢300Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg10.5¢Current0¢173.96Shares
Showing 8 of 157 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet shanze8: 77.5% win rate over 1,005 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −274.6%, n=102 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−16.5% over 100 fills); +$33.6K lifetime P&L, $927.6K traded, updated 2026-09-23.