PolyTrace
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Trader profile

skded

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.3%371 settled · past 90 days2 open · 52% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded241Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.3% / $95% interval −67.3% to +60.7%140 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−0.1%n=134 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.3% · Decided 371 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$4.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.3K
Concentration
99.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NRG · NoValue$4.9KPnL+$669Avg85.8¢Current99.5¢4,890.29Shares
Nongshim RedForce · YesValue$15PnL−$734Avg25.8¢Current0.5¢2,901.02Shares
G2Value$0PnL−$178Avg59.2¢Current0¢299.78Shares
BNK FEARX · NoValue$0PnL−$198Avg33¢Current0¢599.88Shares
Gen.GValue$0PnL−$95Avg27.1¢Current0¢351.92Shares
Invictus GamingValue$0PnL−$682Avg45.6¢Current0¢1,497.5Shares
Dplus KIAValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg60.8¢Current0¢7,999.99Shares
United States · NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg2¢Current0¢98Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet skded: 56.3% win rate over 371 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −67.3%, n=140 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.1% over 134 fills); +$14.2K lifetime P&L, $3.2M traded, updated 2026-09-25.