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Trader profile

MaoZeDonK

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$148.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.4%1,585 settled · past 90 days20 open · 86% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$8.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,681Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.6% / $95% interval −44.5% to +31.4%686 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.4%n=610 settled
Unmapped
−10.5%n=68 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.4% · Decided 1,585 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$5.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.4M
Concentration
37.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
408
Showing the largest 8 of 408
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
Under · NoValue$2KPnL−$1KAvg56.8¢Current37¢5,280.7Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YesValue$995PnL−$105Avg54.2¢Current49¢2,030.61Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$994PnL−$506Avg63.2¢Current41.9¢2,374.43Shares
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
NoValue$270PnL+$170Avg32.8¢Current88.5¢304.89Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$163PnL+$63Avg36¢Current58.5¢277.78Shares
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
YesValue$146PnL+$46Avg9.9¢Current14.5¢1,006.02Shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$131PnL−$39Avg51¢Current39.3¢332.27Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$108PnL+$8Avg78.6¢Current85¢127.28Shares
Showing 8 of 408 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MaoZeDonK: 42.4% win rate over 1,585 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.5%, n=686 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.4% over 610 fills); −$148.1K lifetime P&L, $8.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.