PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x199d…6e7b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$25.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.2%52 settled · past 180 days2 open · 0% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$758.7K249 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded60Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.3% / $95% interval −459.3% to +428.6%35 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−15.3%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.2% · Decided 52 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$52K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.3K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$52KPnL+$741Avg90.2¢Current91.5¢56,807.22Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$3PnL+$0.20Avg64¢Current69.5¢3.64Shares
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)
Daniel Santos · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg70¢Current0¢714.29Shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Conor McGregor · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg36¢Current0¢277.78Shares
Fight to Go the Distance?
YesValue$0PnL−$7Avg98¢Current0¢6.97Shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg80.3¢Current0¢5,199.82Shares
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Marco Tulio · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg15¢Current0¢6.67Shares
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
NoValue$0PnL−$288Avg58.1¢Current0¢494.63Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x199df422f3460e56931a6af1643a0bb97a9a6e7b: 71.2% win rate over 52 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −459.3%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−15.3% over 35 fills); +$25.6K lifetime P&L, $758.7K traded, updated 2026-09-25.