PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x1997…2e36

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$123.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…15 open · 40% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded693Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.1% / $95% interval −51.9% to +11.6%27 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.1%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$28K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$541.3K
Concentration
33%
Largest share of value
Positions
171
Showing the largest 8 of 171
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$9.2KPnL+$747Avg63.9¢Current69.5¢13,271.94Shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$4KPnL+$572Avg83.2¢Current97¢4,160.24Shares
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$3.4KPnL+$496Avg85.2¢Current100¢3,360Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$448Avg36.2¢Current43.4¢6,185Shares
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$363Avg80.2¢Current93.5¢2,737.98Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$11Avg94.9¢Current95.4¢2,461Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$550Avg60.9¢Current48.8¢4,523Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$454PnL−$4Avg80¢Current79.3¢573Shares
Showing 8 of 171 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x19974ce5980bae3d4c4d1a67cfce60c655492e36: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −20.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −51.9%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.1% over 27 fills); −$123.1K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-21.