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Trader profile

tenet-321

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$16.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.7%304 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$501.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded358Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.7% / $95% interval −218.8% to +181.5%38 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.1%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.7% · Decided 304 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$7
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.6K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
41
Showing the largest 8 of 41
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
YesValue$7PnL−$0.10Avg72.6¢Current71.5¢9.61Shares
Korea Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sara Saito
En-Shuo Liang · YesValue$0PnL−$123Avg41¢Current0¢300Shares
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Buse
Kilian Feldbausch · YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg17.8¢Current0¢99.99Shares
Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon
Adrian Mannarino · YesValue$0PnL−$224Avg56¢Current0¢400Shares
Porto: Erika Andreeva vs Reese Brantmeier
Erika Andreeva · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg66.1¢Current0¢2,259.27Shares
Phan Thiet 4: Kenta Miyoshi vs Philip Sekulic
Kenta Miyoshi · YesValue$0PnL−$340Avg68¢Current0¢499.99Shares
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg94.2¢Current0¢1,202.26Shares
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-19?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg93¢Current0¢10.75Shares
Showing 8 of 41 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tenet-321: 71.7% win rate over 304 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −218.8%, n=38 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.1% over 36 fills); −$16.3K lifetime P&L, $501.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.