PolyTrace
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Trader profile

mesmerizedx

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.6%774 settled · past 180 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$951.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded769Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.5% / $95% interval −35.5% to +26.6%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−0.7%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.6% · Decided 774 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$136.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
279
Showing the largest 8 of 279
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs
Galorys · YesValue$0PnL−$93Avg49¢Current0¢190Shares
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs
BESTIA · YesValue$0PnL−$156Avg78¢Current0¢199.98Shares
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner
Dplus KIA · NoValue$0PnL−$315Avg42¢Current0¢750Shares
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C
RUSTEC · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg75.6¢Current0¢1,399.97Shares
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak
James McCabe · YesValue$0PnL−$99Avg37¢Current0¢266.53Shares
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Aryna Sabalenka · YesValue$0PnL−$3.5KAvg64¢Current0¢5,450Shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
MOUZ · NoValue$0PnL−$246Avg41¢Current0¢600Shares
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?
YesValue$0PnL−$144Avg48¢Current0¢300Shares
Showing 8 of 279 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mesmerizedx: 53.6% win rate over 774 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −35.5%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.7% over 10 fills); −$12.1K lifetime P&L, $951.4K traded, updated 2026-09-21.