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Trader profile

WilliamNaka

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$29.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.1%235 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$813.2K516 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded284Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −466.6% to +434.4%19 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−15.1%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.1% · Decided 235 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$4.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$23.5K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$75Avg94¢Current95.5¢5,021.7Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg45¢Current0¢50Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$73Avg75.7¢Current0¢96.52Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$350Avg61¢Current0¢573.77Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg54¢Current0¢92.59Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg73¢Current0¢273.97Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$178Avg89¢Current0¢199.72Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$418Avg51.3¢Current0¢815.5Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet WilliamNaka: 65.1% win rate over 235 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −466.6%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−15.1% over 13 fills); −$29.7K lifetime P&L, $813.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.